Work & Field Notes
Judgment, shown with its provenance.
Everything here is labelled by what it is: the operating record before the firm, and reconstructed field notes from live decision problems.
The record before the firm
Selected engagements from twelve years leading data science and analytics inside large retail and banking organizations, before Audiences AI existed.
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The LTV model that stopped advising and started deciding
A customer lifetime value model existed for years as a score in a report. Rewiring it to own segmentation and treatment decisions, with humans on the exceptions, moved churn by three percent and $55M+ in incremental revenue within two quarters.
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The personalization gap that had nothing to do with the model
Conversion was flat while the models kept improving. The rebuild went into the signal layer underneath: what the systems could actually see about a customer at decision time. Conversion moved 1.6 points, worth $40M+ incremental.
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Testing aligned to the decision calendar
An experimentation program was re-anchored on the decisions leadership actually had to make each season, across ten-plus cross-functional teams. The winning strategies it surfaced were worth $120M, and the roadmap it produced ran three years.
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An AI council that shipped instead of convening
A governance body was rebuilt around a decision portfolio: which calls the models owned, which stayed human, and what evidence moved one to the other. Eighteen AI decisions were automated under five frameworks on a three-year roadmap.
Field notes
Reconstructed and composite notes showing how a business decision gets diagnosed and structured. Identifying details are altered; the method is the point.
- Recoverable is a verdict
- Refusal is a deliverable
- Fourteen Pages, No Holes Showing
- The return-risk score never leaves the warehouse
Client work is published with permission, or reconstructed to protect confidentiality. Assumptions and illustrative data are labelled as such.